In Kentucky (51 delegates), the polls close at 7:00 PM ET. On the west coast in Oregon (52 delegates), all the votes are by mail-in ballots and voters may drop off today up to 11:00 PM ET. Although the overwhelming majority of voters in Oregon mailed in their Ballots previously, expect the final results to come in slow.
A Oregon poll conducted by Public Policy Polling from 5-17 to 5-18 indicated that 74% of the poll respondents who had already voted favored Obama by 59%. Their overall poll results indicate Obama 56% and Clinton 38%. Although this looks encouraging for Obama, expect this margin to narrow as Ballots are totaled today.
Survey USA in a poll conducted from 5-16 to 5-18 shows a 2-1 advantage for Clinton 62% to Obama 31%. This margin has remained this way for weeks.
Today's total delegate count by RealClearPolitics.com is Obama 1913, Clinton 1721. Since yesterday, Obama has gained 13 delegates and Clinton 3 delegates.
It does not appear Clinton will gain more than a dozen delegates over Obama in today's contests even with a blow out in Kentucky. After today, only three democratic primaries remain: Puerto Rico (55 delegates) June 1, Montana (16 delegates) and S. Dakota (15 delegates) June 3.
We will do some live blogging on the results tonight. Stay Tuned.
Tuesday, May 20, 2008
Kentucky and Oregon Democrats Weigh In Today
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