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Monday, November 3, 2008

Dem Campaign Chatter 11-3-2008

George Wenschhof

Today, Obama is in Jacksonville, Florida, Charlotte, North Carolina and Manassas, Virginia. These are three battleground states which were all won by Bush in 2004. Keep an eye on all three of these states tomorrow for McCain needs to win all three to remain competitive on Election Day. If you live near Manassas, plan to attend the rally tonight which starts at 9 PM ET - we posted yesterday the information - just scroll down the page to find.

Biden is in Lee's Summit, Missouri, then off to Zansville and Copley, Ohio before heading to Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Michelle is in Las Vegas, Nevada and Littleton, Colorado.

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Quinnipiac University Battleground Polls - taken from 10-27 to 11-2. Read more here.

Florida: Obama 47%, McCain 45%
Ohio: Obama 50%, McCain 43%
Pennsylvania: Obama 52%, McCain 42%

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Final Gallup Poll - Obama 55%, McCain 44%. Gallup.com has more here.

Wall Street Journal/NBC Poll 11-1 + 11-2:
Obama 51%, McCain 43% Read more here.

RealClearPolitics.com - average of 13 national polls from 10-28 to 11-2:
Obama 51.2%, McCain 44.2% Read more here

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CNN Political Strategists make predictions - James Carville, Paul Begala, Donna Brazile, Leslie Sanchez, Alex Castellanos, Ed Rollins and David Gergen - even the Republican strategists pick Obama to win the election with a minimum 325 electoral votes with strong gains in the House and Senate. When I was working for NACO, we leased space to Ed Rollins, who at the time (1980) was the top Reagan strategist. Read their predictions here.

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Chris Cillizza makes his electoral prediction in the Washington Post "The Fix" - He has it at 319 for Obama and 219 for McCain. You can read his state by state prediction here.

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