No Big Surprises in Primaries held Yesterday

George Wenschhof

Former President Bill Clinton showed he still has clout in Arkansas as incumbent Democrat Senator Blanche Lincoln won a hard fought battle against Lt. Governor Bill Halter 52% - 48%.

In California, it will be Republican Meg Whitman who will face former Democratic Governor Jerry Brown. In the California senate race, it will be Republican Carly Fiorina against incumbent Democrat Barbara Boxer.

Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid (D) will face Republican Sharon Angle who won the republican primary with only 40%. This is good news for Reid who just 8 weeks ago was considered vulnerable. Look to see Reid to win reelection by a comfortable margin in November.

Also in Nevada, incumbent Republican Governor Jim Gibbons (27%) was beaten by Brian Sandoval (55%).

The intrigue in South Carolina for the Republican nomination for governor is not over as Republican Nikki Haley (48.8%) failed to obtain 50% of the vote against her main opponent Graham Bennett (21.8%). A runoff election will be held in several weeks. Haley was accused of infidelity and also called a "raghead" by a supporter of her opponent. let's see if the Republicans continue to beat themselves up prior to the runoff election. Look to see Haley win.

Republican candidates in the 4th congressional district are also facing another runoff in South Carolina. Incumbent Bob Inglis (27%) will face Trey Gowdy (39%) with Gowdy favored to win easily.

One thing that is becoming clearer as a result of the early primaries is the Republican Party does not have a message or a leader as they did in the 1994 mid term elections when they recaptured majority of the House. Then, it was Minority Leader Newt Gingrich and his "Contract with America" that helped swing the voters their way.

While history tells us is the political party who is in the White House loses an average of 25-35 House seats in mid term elections, do not look to see that figure increase. As long as Republicans continue to battle each other with no clear message, Democrats will maintain a majority in the House.

As long as the National Republican Party message is simply "No" to Democratic proposals, Democrats will remain in the majority in Congress.

Politic.com has all the results from all the states here.

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Democratic Chatter 2-18-2009

George Wenschhof Bio

Today, President Barack Obama will announce his mortgage relief program in Phoenix, Arizona - this is the home state of his 2008 presidential opponent, Senator John McCain. Phoenix has experienced high levels of foreclosures. The program is part of the revised 700 billion Bailout bill (TARP), Secretary Timothy Geithner tried to explain last week. Reportedly, 50-100 billion will be made available to help banks restructure loans resulting in lower monthly payments to homeowners. CNN.com has more here.

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Unfortunately, the first reaction by Wall Street to the Stimulus bill signing yesterday was a 297.1 drop in the Dow Jones - the close was 7552.60, the lowest in ten years. We could see this coming as we reported the drop on Global stocks yesterday morning. It did not help when former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said the U.S. is not doing enough to stabilize the financial markets. Bloomberg.com has more here.

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All of this while the auto industry asks for more money - the 13.4 billion GM and Chrysler received earlier under the bailout bill required restructuring plans to be submitted to congress yesterday. The plans were submitted and included - guess what? - a request for more money while cutting a total of 50,000 jobs. Chrysler wants 5 billion and GM wants 16.6 billion. Meanwhile, the United Auto Workers (UAW) union has agreed to restructure current agreements. MCNBC.com has more here.

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The President announces a 17,000 troop level increase in Afghanistan - hardly a surprise as he campaigned that the U.S. had lost it's focus in Afghanistan under the previous administration. Currently, the U.S. has 38,000 troops deployed and NATO has another 30,000 troops in Afghanistan. It is anticipated President Obama will increase the troop level again as he continues a review of the military strategy for the region. In Iraq, there are currently 146,000 U.S. troops. Reuters.com has more here.

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Senate Ethics Committee to investigate Illinois Democratic Senator Roland Burris - the more the former Governor Rod Blagojevich appointed Senator speaks, the more trouble he stirs up. First, it was an amendment to his statement to his testimony given to the Illinois impeachment panel which said the former Governor's brother had solicited campaign funds from him. The state of Illinois is considering charges of perjury. The latest revelation is Burris says he did try to hold a fundraiser for the Governor but no one was interested. Now it seems the Senate Ethics committee, chaired by Senator Barbara Boxer (D-Calf.) has opened an investigation. TheHill.com has more here.

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