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Wednesday, April 9, 2008

Obama Narrows Clinton Lead in PA

As one would expect from a candidate flush with cash, money is being spent by the Obama campaign at a record pace in Pennsylvania. It is reported that the Obama campaign (3.6 million) has outspent the Clinton campaign (1.3 million) on television ad buys in the state.

In two recent polls which can be seen at RealClearPolitics.com, Senator Clinton's lead is very small. PublicPolicyPolling.com has it at Clinton - 46% and Obama - 43% and Rasmussen has it at Clinton - 48% and Obama - 43%.

However, both polls have a high number of undecideds (9-11%), so how they vote on April 22nd will be pivotal to both candidates. Senator Clinton needs a double digit win here so it is surprising she is holding back spending for there may be no tomorrow for her campaign if she only wins by a few points.

There is also the possibility the debate in Philadelphia next Wednesday April 16th, televised by ABC will have an impact on the voters. The debate will be from 8:00 to 10:00 PM ET and the moderator will be Charles Gibson who will be joined by George Stephanopoulos. This will air less than one week prior to the Pennsylvania primary. So not only will it be fresh in the minds of those voters who watch it but it will have been spun by the media for six days prior to the primary. I will post more details and a reminder of this debate on Wednesday April 16th.

Senator Obama continues to hold a 136 total delegate lead over Senator Clinton (1639-1503) with 2025 needed to win the democratic party nomination.

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